Race to Congress: Zamboanga SIbugay Voter Survey Reveals Tight Battle for 2nd District Seat

Survey Results Publication: Ipil Voter Preference for 2nd District Representative - Election 2025

With the 2025 elections fast approaching, a voter preference survey conducted from March 15-31, 2025, reveals a tight contest among candidates in Zamboanga Sibugay’s 2nd Congressional District. The survey, backed by StatSense and CMPAP-Davao Chapter, gathered insights from 10,000 registered voters across seven municipalities, highlighting key factors influencing voter decisions, including Duterte’s arrest, government aid (ayuda), track record, and personal connections. 

Survey Overview

The voter preference survey for the 2nd Congressional District Representative was conducted from March 15-31, 2025 by StatSense, in partnership with CMPAP-Davao Chapter. The survey employed face-to-face interviews with 10,000 registered voters (aged 18 and above) across the seven municipalities of the 2nd Congressional District of Zamboanga Sibugay. Respondents included representatives from households across all barangays, transport groups, religious groups, vendors, and the working class.

The survey utilized the revised ballot face template released by the Commission on Elections (COMELEC), listing the seven official candidates for the congressional seat.

Survey Question

Respondents were asked: “Kung ang eleksyon pagahimuon karon, kinsa ang posible nimo botaran pagka CONGRESSMAN sa 2ND DISTRICT SA ZAMBOANGA SIBUGAY?” (If the election were held today, who would you vote for as Congressman of the 2nd District of Zamboanga Sibugay?)

Survey Results

The results of the survey are as follows:



The survey has a ±3% margin of error, ensuring that the results accurately represent voter preferences across the 2nd Congressional District.

Factors Influencing Voter Preferences

Based on voter responses, the following key issues influenced their choice of candidate:

  1. Arrest of Former President Rodrigo Duterte – Many voters aligned with candidates who expressed strong opinions about the ongoing legal proceedings.

  2. Ayuda (Financial Assistance) – Candidates' programs on financial aid and social support were major considerations.

  3. Track Record – Voters prioritized experience and previous public service performance.

  4. Personally Known Candidates – Familiarity with the candidate played a key role in voter decisions.

Analysis and Implications

  • Acosta leads the poll with an average of 32.69%, showing strong support in Siay, Kabasalan, and Ipil.

  • Eudela and Hasim follow closely behind, reflecting a tight three-way race.

  • Delos Reyes dominates Naga but has lower support elsewhere.

  • Undecided voters remain a small yet significant factor (2.32%), which may influence final election results.

These results provide an early indication of the voter sentiment in Zamboanga Sibugay’s 2nd District, but shifts may still occur as election day approaches.

Disclaimer: The survey results do not reflect the final outcome of the elections and serve only as an indication of voter preference as of the survey period.

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