Jarvis Acosta Leads Zamboanga Sibugay 2nd District Voter's Preference Survey

 Jarvis Acosta Leads Zamboanga Sibugay 2nd District Voter's Preference Survey with 39.47%

A recent voter preference survey conducted across the 2nd District of Zamboanga Sibugay from February 20 to March 15, 2025, reveals that Jarvis Acosta currently holds the lead in the race, securing 39.47% of voter support. The survey, which sampled 12,000 randomly selected respondents from different sectors—including transport workers, vendors, farmers, youth, households, and religious groups—provides a clear snapshot of the current political landscape in the district.

Survey Results:

  1. Jarvis Acosta – 39.47%

  2. Marly Hasim – 34.16%

  3. Antonieta Eudela – 22.15%

  4. Rino Delos Reyes – 4.01%

  5. Others/Abstain – 0.21%

The survey has a margin of error of ±2.5% at a 95% confidence level, suggesting that the results are statistically reliable and reflective of the broader voter sentiment in the 2nd District.

Key Issues Influencing Voter Preference

The survey also highlighted the major issues shaping voter decisions:

  1. Arrest of Former President Rodrigo Duterte – The arrest of the former president has sparked mixed reactions across the political spectrum, with some voters viewing it as politically motivated, while others see it as a necessary step toward justice. This event has heightened political awareness and may influence voter turnout and candidate alignment.

  2. Ayuda (Financial Assistance) – Economic relief remains a critical factor, with many voters prioritizing candidates who promise continued financial assistance and support programs. Candidates who have delivered or committed to financial aid have gained significant traction among lower-income households and vulnerable communities.

  3. Candidate’s Advocacy – Voters are keen on platforms that address local issues such as infrastructure development, livelihood programs, education, and healthcare. Candidates with clear, actionable platforms have a higher chance of securing votes.

  4. Political Party Affiliation – While party loyalty remains a factor, it is less influential compared to direct engagement and personal connection with the candidates.

  5. Candidate's Personal Connection – Familiarity with the candidate remains a strong influence, with voters more inclined to support individuals they know personally or have interacted with in the past. This underscores the importance of grassroots engagement and community involvement.

Implications and Outlook

Jarvis Acosta’s lead reflects a strong and growing base of support, but the race remains competitive, with Marly Hasim trailing closely at 34.16%—a difference of just over 5%. The gap between Hasim and Antonieta Eudela at 22.15% indicates that there is still room for movement, especially if key issues such as financial aid and political loyalty shift in the coming months.

Rino Delos Reyes, with 4.01%, remains a distant contender, but his influence among niche voter groups could still impact the final outcome. The low percentage for "Others and Abstain" at 0.21% suggests that most voters have already made up their minds or are leaning toward a specific candidate.

With the campaign period entering a crucial phase, the final outcome may hinge on how candidates navigate the pressing issues and engage with the electorate on a personal level. The arrest of former President Duterte and the promise of ayuda are expected to remain central issues as the election draws nearer.

This survey reflects the current pulse of the 2nd District electorate and provides valuable insight for both candidates and political strategists as they adjust their campaign strategies in the weeks ahead.

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